{"id":1611,"date":"2020-12-23T12:58:00","date_gmt":"2020-12-23T09:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/?p=1611"},"modified":"2020-12-23T13:07:04","modified_gmt":"2020-12-23T10:07:04","slug":"mahmut-sayin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/2020\/12\/23\/mahmut-sayin\/","title":{"rendered":"Mahmut Say\u0131n"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

2020 YILI EKONOM\u0130<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonomi g\u00fcndeminin merkezinde, \u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flay\u0131p k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede
d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ald\u0131klar\u0131 \u00f6nlemler yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Salg\u0131n
k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n sonu itibariyle yakla\u015f\u0131k 10,6 milyon insana bula\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve
517 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015ftir. 5,8 milyondan fazla insan\u0131n iyile\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen, salg\u0131n son
y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik bunal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yaratmak \u00fczeredir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonomi g\u00fcndeminin merkezinde, \u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flay\u0131p k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede
d\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ald\u0131klar\u0131 \u00f6nlemler yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Salg\u0131n
k\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n sonu itibariyle yakla\u015f\u0131k 10,6 milyon insana bula\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve
517 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015ftir. 5,8 milyondan fazla insan\u0131n iyile\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen, salg\u0131n son
y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik bunal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yaratmak \u00fczeredir.
K\u00fcresel tedbirlerde sa\u011fl\u0131k sistemlerini korumak \u00f6ncelikli olmu\u015ftur. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda vir\u00fcs
hakk\u0131nda ve yay\u0131l\u0131m h\u0131z\u0131nda net bilgilerin olmamas\u0131 ve ilerleyen s\u00fcre\u00e7te acil ve yo\u011fun bak\u0131m
deste\u011finin uzun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn anla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte, \u00f6ncelik sa\u011fl\u0131k sistemlerinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesinin
engellenmesi olmu\u015ftur. Bu nedenle uluslararas\u0131 d\u00fczeyde sa\u011fl\u0131k alan\u0131nda dayan\u0131\u015fma ve
yard\u0131mla\u015fma \u00e7abalar\u0131 ilk a\u015famada \u00f6n planda olmu\u015ftur. T\u00fcrkiye bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131k
ekipmanlar\u0131 yard\u0131m\u0131yla s\u00f6z konusu dayan\u0131\u015fma \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131na en iyi cevap veren \u00fclkelerden birisi
olmu\u015ftur.
Salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sert toplumsal ve ekonomik \u00f6nlemler al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, toplumsal hareketlili\u011fin
azalmas\u0131 ve sosyal yal\u0131t\u0131m kavram\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesiyle \u00fclkelerin salg\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131
engellemek amac\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 kapamalar\u0131 ve baz\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerdeki faaliyetleri k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 t\u00fcm
d\u00fcnyada ciddi ekonomik etkilerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Ba\u015fta hizmet sekt\u00f6rleri olmak
\u00fczere bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn tamamen kapanmas\u0131, ekonomik faaliyetlerin yava\u015flamas\u0131na ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin
artmas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftur. Al\u0131nan karantina \u00f6nlemleri \u00fcretim endekslerinin ciddi oranda
d\u00fc\u015fmesine, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc kay\u0131plar\u0131na ve g\u00fcven endekslerinin t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada gerilemesine neden olmu\u015ftur.
Pandeminin ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fcye yol a\u00e7mamas\u0131 i\u00e7in tarihte benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f mali te\u015fvikler ve
parasal geni\u015fleme politikalar\u0131 uygulanmaktad\u0131r. Salg\u0131n\u0131n istihdam, tedarik zincirleri ve \u00fcretim
kapasitesi \u00fczerinde yarataca\u011f\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 tahribat\u0131 gidermek i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta \u00f6nemli boyutlarda mali
tedbirler uygulamaya konulmu\u015ftur. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede merkez bankalar\u0131 faiz indirimleri
ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmi\u015f, geli\u015fmekte olanlar da dahil olmak \u00fczere \u00fclkeler varl\u0131k al\u0131mlar\u0131, likidite destekleri,
kredi programlar\u0131 ile salg\u0131ndan etkilenen sekt\u00f6rlere ve hanehalk\u0131na y\u00f6nelik daha \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f
boyutlarda destek programlar\u0131n\u0131 hayata ge\u00e7irmi\u015ftir.
Bu d\u00f6nemde, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc belirgin bi\u00e7imde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemde,
uluslararas\u0131 kurulu\u015flar taraf\u0131ndan 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3 civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi
tahmin edilirken, salg\u0131ndan sonraki tahminlere g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5 civar\u0131nda daralmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.
G\u00fcvenli liman aray\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve sermaye hareketlerinde de\u011fi\u015fimler g\u00f6zlenmi\u015ftir. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda
ABD dolar\u0131 cinsinden varl\u0131klara ve k\u0131smen alt\u0131na yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yo\u011fun ilgi g\u00f6sterdikleri g\u00f6zlenmi\u015ftir.
Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te ise geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelen portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, salg\u0131n\u0131n ciddi boyutlara
ula\u015fmas\u0131ndan ve k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki gerileme neticesinde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli limanlara
y\u00f6nelmesiyle olumsuz etkilenmi\u015f, bu \u00fclkelere y\u00f6nelik bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlarda tarihi en y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f
g\u00f6zlenmi\u015ftir. B\u00f6ylece geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin risk primlerinde de belirgin art\u0131\u015flar izlenmi\u015ftir.
Bununla birlikte, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ABD\u2019deki \u00fclkeye \u00f6zg\u00fc sorunlar nedeniyle dolar
varl\u0131klardan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelere
portf\u00f6y yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz d\u00f6nmedi\u011fi izlenmektedir.
Azalan k\u00fcresel talep ve zorunlu \u00fcretim k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 d\u00fcnya ticaret hacminde keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere yol
a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ticaret ve k\u00fcresel katma de\u011fer zincirinin bu durumdan olumsuz etkilenmesiyle k\u00fcresel
ticaret hacmi keskin bir daralma kaydetmi\u015ftir. Ayr\u0131ca, salg\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131 sonucu firmalar yo\u011fun
talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri, arz kesintileri ve nakit ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bozulmalar nedeniyle yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m
yapma kararlar\u0131nda temkinli davranm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcresel g\u00fcndemi
4
me\u015fgul eden ABD ve \u00c7in aras\u0131ndaki ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 hususunda net bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm halen
sa\u011flanamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.
Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda tarihsel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler kaydedilmi\u015ftir. Hem k\u00fcresel ekonomik faaliyetteki
yava\u015flaman\u0131n etkisi, hem de petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler (OPEC+) aras\u0131ndaki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar ba\u015fta
petrol olmak \u00fczere emtia fiyatlar\u0131nda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fcreticiler aras\u0131nda
g\u00f6r\u00fclen uzla\u015fma \u00e7abalar\u0131 ve arz kesintileri ile k\u0131smen toparlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.
Salg\u0131n ilk a\u015famada kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de riskler devam etmektedir. 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n
ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finin ba\u015flar\u0131ndan itibaren al\u0131nan \u00f6nlemler sayesinde salg\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rece kontrol alt\u0131na alan
bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede \u00f6nlemler hafifletilmi\u015f ve ekonomik faaliyetler yeniden ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fsa da, salg\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131l\u0131m
h\u0131z\u0131na ve normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecine dair belirsizlikler halen devam etmektedir. Devam eden salg\u0131n\u0131n
k\u00fcresel t\u00fcketim al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131 ve genel harcama davran\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahribat\u0131n devam edip
etmeyece\u011finin tam olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclememesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra a\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz olumlu
sonu\u00e7lanmamas\u0131 ve olu\u015fabilecek ikinci dalga beklentisi halen t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerde endi\u015fe kayna\u011f\u0131
olmaya devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2020 YILI EKONOM\u0130 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonomi g\u00fcndeminin merkezinde, \u00c7in\u2019de ba\u015flay\u0131p k\u0131sa s\u00fcreded\u00fcnyaya yay\u0131lan Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve salg\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ald\u0131klar\u0131 \u00f6nlemler yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Salg\u0131nk\u00fcresel d\u00fczeyde 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131n\u0131n sonu itibariyle yakla\u015f\u0131k 10,6 milyon insana bula\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve517 bin ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015ftir. 5,8 milyondan fazla insan\u0131n iyile\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen, salg\u0131n sony\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1611"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1611"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1611\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1617,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1611\/revisions\/1617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.denizliviphaber.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}